Thursday, June 20, 2019

Lucas Giolito finally loses a game. Here's why it's not a concern.

White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito suffered his first loss since April 6 on Wednesday, giving up six earned runs over 4.1 innings against the Cubs.

The Cubs won, 7-3, and ended Giolito's run of nine wins in a row.

Here's why it's not a concern: First off, hey, everybody has got to have a bad game sometime. Nobody in the history of baseball has gone undefeated. Giolito (10-2) is still among the best pitchers in the American League, despite the screeching from a few village idiots who believe that he "hasn't beaten good teams." Two victories over the New York Yankees (46-27) and a complete-game shutout against the Houston Astros (48-27) say otherwise.

Secondly, Giolito's line in this game was weird: 4.1 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 9 Ks, 3 BBs, 3 HRs.

Nine strikeouts out of the 13 outs recorded. Cubs batters swung and missed 21 times at the 88 pitches Giolito threw. That tells us the good stuff was still there. There were a few too many mistakes. That's all, and that's going to happen.

Of note: All three Cubs home runs came on changeups -- the grand slam by Willson Contreras in the first inning, the solo shot by Contreras in the third and the solo home run by David Bote in the fourth. All were on pitches thigh-high or lower.

Giolito's best weapon is his high fastball. He's been able to get the high strike called for almost all his starts this season. Not in this start. For whatever reason, home plate umpire Cory Blaser wasn't giving anything above the thigh.

Cubs batters still swung (and missed) at the high fastball at times, but they didn't have to swing at it -- it wasn't being called for a strike. In this game, Cubs batters could afford to sit on changeups down, and the strategy paid off in three home runs.

That's something to keep an eye on in Giolito's next start Monday against the Boston Red Sox. Are opposing batters sitting change, and can Giolito make the adjustment?

It's almost a certainty the home plate umpire will be more friendly next game, too. Right now, I'm inclined to think this was just a blip and a bad game for the guy who has been far and away the best Sox starter this season.

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