Tuesday, November 3, 2020

Jose Abreu, Luis Robert, Rick Renteria among finalists for postseason awards

Jose Abreu
White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu is a finalist for American League Most Valuable Player. Center fielder Luis Robert is a finalist for Rookie of the Year, and former manager Rick Renteria is a finalist for Manager of the Year.  

The BBWAA award finalists were announced on MLB Network on Monday night. 

Abreu seems to be the most likely of these three people to win. The other MVP finalists are Cleveland Indians third baseman Jose Ramirez and New York Yankees infielder DJ LeMahieu.

Here's a side-by-side comparison of these three players: 

LeMahieu: .364/.421/.590, 10 HRs, 10 2Bs, 27 RBIs, 3 SBs 

Abreu: .317/.370/.617, 19 HRs, 15 2Bs, 60 RBIs, 0 SB 

Ramirez: .292/.386/.607, 17 HRs, 16 2Bs, 46 RBIs, 10 SB 

Abreu led the league in hits with 76. His RBIs and slugging percentage also were league-leading totals. LeMahieu led the league in both batting average and on-base percentage. Ramirez topped the AL with 45 runs scored. 

Robert's competition for the Rookie of the Year award includes Seattle Mariners outfielder Kyle Lewis and Houston Astros pitcher Cristian Javier

Here's a side-by-side comparison of these three players: 

Lewis: .262/.364/.437, 11 HRs, 3 2Bs, 28 RBIs, 5 SBs 

Robert: .233/.302/.436, 11 HRs, 12 2Bs, 31 RBIs, 9 SBs 

Javier: 5-2, 3.48 ERA, 12 games (10 starts), 54.1 IP, 36 H, 54 Ks, 18 BBs 

I think what hurts Robert here is his ice-cold September. He was hitting .298 when August ended, but then he hit .136 the rest of the season. Lewis might very well win because he didn't have a prolonged slump like that. 

Renteria is a finalist for Manager of the Year along with Charlie Montoyo of the Toronto Blue Jays and Kevin Cash of the Tampa Bay Rays. Cash led his club to a 40-20 record and an AL pennant. Montoyo's team got into the playoffs despite having to play its home games in Buffalo. Renteria went 35-25, but got fired after the Sox blew the AL Central the last week of the season and made a quick exit from the playoffs. 

I'm assuming Renteria finishes third.

Monday, November 2, 2020

Catching up on White Sox roster moves: Encarnacion, Garcia, Gonzalez, etc.

Leury Garcia
The White Sox made several roster moves over the weekend. Let's get caught up:

  • Designated hitter Edwin Encarnacion's $12 million club option was declined.
  • Utility player Leury Garcia's $3.5 million club option was picked up.
  • Left-handed pitcher Gio Gonzalez had his $7 million club option declined.
  • Infielder Yolmer Sanchez was placed on waivers and claimed by the Baltimore Orioles.
  • Right-handed pitcher Michael Kopech was reinstated from the restricted list.
  • Right-handed pitcher Jimmy Lambert was reinstated from the 60-day disabled list.

The series of moves leaves the Sox's 40-man roster at 36 players.

There aren't many surprises on this list. The 37-year-old Encarnacion might retire after a struggling year -- if he wants to play in 2021, he might need to sign a minor-league deal and try to make a roster out of spring training.

Gonzalez was a combination of hurt and bad in 2020, and with Kopech and Lambert returning to the active roster, they join a back-of-the-rotation logjam that includes Dylan Cease and Dane Dunning -- and possibly Reynaldo Lopez, if he's tendered a contract. That makes Gonzalez expendable. 

Garcia's option being picked up is the only move here that some may disagree with. We discussed it earlier on this blog: We cited Garcia's option and Alex Colome's impending free agency as being among the tougher roster calls the Sox had/have on their plate this offseason.

Turns out, Sox brass feels Garcia's ability to play multiple positions -- in both the infield and the outfield -- switch-hit and pinch-run makes him worth the $3.5 million.

Garcia has shown he can play that role, but the question mark with him is not his performance. It is his health. Garcia was limited to 16 games and 59 at-bats in 2020 because he tore ligaments in his left thumb with an ill-advised slide into first base. This is a player who is good for at least one trip to the injured list every year.

Because of that, you could make the case (and I have) that the Sox would have been better off buying out Garcia for $250,000, saving that money and allowing Adam Engel and Danny Mendick to be the key bench players at a cheaper price. I would not have objected at all had the Sox gone that route, provided that $3.5 million was invested wisely in roster improvements elsewhere.

However, here's the argument for keeping Garcia: Shortstop Tim Anderson also is good for one trip to the injured list pretty much every year. It's not uncommon to see Anderson miss a couple of weeks here and there for a strained groin or a turned ankle, and when that happens, Garcia is a guy you want around to play shortstop.

I like Mendick's defense at second base and third base. His hands are good, and he turns the double play acceptably well when he's at second base. However, he doesn't have the athleticism Garcia has, which limits his range at shortstop, and Garcia also possesses a stronger arm.

If and when Anderson needs to sit out, Garcia is a better choice at shortstop than Mendick. Garcia costs more, sure, but the Sox have apparently decided that price is worth it.

Thursday, October 29, 2020

Party like it's 1983! Tony La Russa named White Sox manager


This offseason, the White Sox need a manager, a designated hitter and a right fielder, preferably one that can swing from the left side of the plate.

Hey, maybe the answers are all right here on a shelf in my man cave! (See picture at right.)

OK, so maybe Harold Baines isn't coming back to play right field, and Greg Luzinski probably can't handle the DH role anymore. The question is whether Tony La Russa can still manage at a championship level.

We're going to find out, because the Sox hired him Thursday in a controversial move, to say the least. I'm not sure I know one single Sox fan who is happy with this decision, and I am no different. 

You can't knock La Russa's credentials. He's in the Hall of Fame as a manager. He's won three World Series and six pennants. He ranks third all-time with 2,728 wins -- and he only needs 36 wins to move into second place.

Thing is, La Russa is 76 years old, and he hasn't managed since he led the St. Louis Cardinals to a World Series championship in 2011. Sox general manager Rick Hahn is on the record as having said the ideal managerial candidate would be someone who has "experience with a championship organization in recent years."

La Russa checks the box on experience with a championship organization. The recent years part, not so much. I do not consider 2011 to be recent. Maybe others do, but I don't. The game has changed a lot in the past 10 years. 

The worst part of this hire, for me, is that the Sox didn't seem to conduct anything resembling a thorough search. They fixated on one guy and, of course, it's La Russa, a longtime favorite of owner Jerry Reinsdorf. 

La Russa managed the Sox from 1979-86. That's a long time ago, folks. We're going back to my childhood, and I'm a 44-year-old man now. La Russa was the Sox manager when I attended my first game at old Comiskey Park ... 39 years ago.

Reinsdorf is on the record as saying his biggest mistake was firing La Russa ... in 1986. So apparently, the big priority here is righting a wrong that happened in 1986. That's a shame, because I thought the big priority here was for the Sox to win a World Series in 2021.

Maybe La Russa can do that, but color me skeptical that a 76-year-old man who has been out of the game for nine years is going to relate well to players who are 50 years younger than he is. 

I actually have no doubt that La Russa is a smart enough man to combine new-school and old-school thoughts on the game. I think he'll pay attention to analytics, but he won't be a slave to it. Both the old school and the new school have their place in my view. The in-game management itself, I think La Russa can do that part.

The problem here is, will guys want to play for him? I'm not sure.

But I think the thing that pisses fans off most is that this is another "insular" hire. Jeff Passan's tweet from earlier today summed it up. Here's the tweet:

"The hiring of Tony La Russa has ruffled feathers in the White Sox organization. A number of employees have concerns about his ability to connect with younger players and how he will adapt to the field after being away 9 years. .... This was a Jerry Reinsdorf decision. Simple as that."

Yes, this was not a decision by baseball operations, as it should have been. It was a decision by a weird, octogenarian billionaire owner whose main interest has always been to surround himself with friends and loyal soldiers.

Sure, Reinsdorf wants to win, but he wants to win his way. And I don't think his way is going to work.

Some key MLB offseason dates to remember

The World Series is over, so here are some key dates to remember this offseason:

Nov. 1. The deadline for exercising or declining options and extending the qualifying offer, after which free agents can sign with any team. 

Nov. 2. Finalists are announced for Most Valuable Player, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year and Manager of the Year awards.

Nov. 3. Gold Glove winners announced.

Nov. 9. Rookie of the Year winners announced.

Nov. 10. Manager of the Year winners announced.

Nov. 11. Cy Young winners announced.

Nov. 12. MVP winners announced.

Nov. 20. Deadline for adding players to the 40-man roster to protect them from the Rule 5 draft.

Dec. 2. Deadline to tender contracts to arbitration-eligible players.

Dec. 6. Winter meetings begin, most likely in online format.

Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Mookie Betts is the difference between the Dodgers and Rays -- and about that Blake Snell decision

Mookie Betts
Both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Tampa Bay Rays are considered elite, forward-thinking organizations by most people around Major League Baseball.

But here's the key difference between the two: The Dodgers have the resources to acquire -- and pay -- a high-end baseball player such as Mookie Betts.

Los Angeles won its first World Series championship since 1988 on Tuesday, beating the Rays, 3-1, in Game 6. 

Betts, a five-tool player who can beat the opposition in multiple ways, led the Dodgers in the decisive game. He went 2 for 4 with a double and a home run. He scored the go-ahead run in the bottom of the sixth inning and gave Los Angeles some cushion with a solo home run off Tampa Bay reliever Pete Fairbanks in the bottom of the eighth.

The Rays took a 1-0 lead into the sixth inning, and their ace, Blake Snell, was dealing.

Austin Barnes, the Dodgers' No. 9 hitter, singled off Snell with one out. It was only the second hit off the Tampa Bay left-hander, who struck out nine of the 18 batters he faced.

But apparently Rays manager Kevin Cash decided Snell was only going to go through the Los Angeles batting order twice. Snell was removed from the game in favor of right-hander Nick Anderson, even though he had only thrown 73 pitches and seemed to have plenty left in the tank.

Up stepped Betts, who doubled Barnes to third base. Anderson's wild pitch allowed Barnes to score the tying run, with Betts advancing to third. The contact play was on as Corey Seager grounded to first base, and Betts used his speed to score the go-ahead run on the fielder's choice. 2-1 Dodgers.

The Betts home run in the ninth put it away, as Tampa Bay batters had no chance against Los Angeles left-hander Julio Urias, who faced seven men and retired them all -- four by strikeout.

But back to that Snell decision ... I don't think too many baseball people thought it was a good choice. Why would you take out your ace, a former Cy Young winner, when he's dealing in a must-win game?

Well, the Rays believe in their analytics, and the numbers say it's best not to let your starting pitcher go through the opposing batter order for a third time. 

OK, I don't like it, but I get it. But let's say you agree with the idea of taking Snell out. If that's the case, then why was Anderson the choice? 

Anderson has made 10 appearances this postseason. He has been scored upon in eight of them -- EIGHT!!! -- including seven appearances in a row. His playoff ERA is 5.52.

He has been pitching poorly by any measure. In what baseball universe is he the best choice to face Betts and Seager in a 1-0 game with a World Series championship on the line?

No universe that I'm living in. 

Analytics are all fine and dandy, and the Rays have used them to great success. You can't argue with a 40-20 record this season, nor can you argue with an American League pennant.

But sometimes you have to trust your eyes a little bit. Even a blind man can see that Anderson has not been pitching well. You just can't go to him there, although the Dodgers and their fans are very happy that Cash did.

Monday, October 26, 2020

Clayton Kershaw has pitched well for the Dodgers this postseason

Clayton Kershaw
If you look at regular season statistics, Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher of his generation, and there isn't even much of an argument.

The Los Angeles Dodgers' left-hander is 175-76 with a 2.43 ERA in his career. He has 2,526 strikeouts. He's won the Cy Young Award three times. He was the National League MVP in 2014, a rare accomplishment for a pitcher.

Five times Kershaw has led the NL in ERA. He's had the lowest WHIP in the league four times. He's led the league in wins and strikeouts three times each.

The blemishes on his career? Well, the Dodgers win the NL West Division every year, but they've yet to win the World Series during the Kershaw era. And Kershaw himself has a pedestrian postseason record -- he's 13-12 with a 4.19 ERA. 

Kershaw is the all-time leader in postseason strikeouts with 207, but you would expect a better record under the playoff lights from a generational pitcher such as this.

Thing is, Kershaw has quieted some of that criticism here in 2020. Four of those 13 career postseason wins have come this year -- the latest a 4-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 5 of the World Series on Sunday night.

The Dodgers now lead the World Series, 3 games to 2, and Kershaw is on the verge of finally getting a championship ring to finish off his Hall of Fame resume. And, he has been a significant contributor to this Los Angeles run. Here is a breakdown of his five postseason starts this year:

Oct. 1 vs. Milwaukee: 8 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 13 Ks, 1 BB -- WIN

Oct. 7 vs. San Diego: 6 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 6 Ks, 0 BB -- WIN

Oct. 15 vs. Atlanta: 5 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 4 Ks, 1 BB -- LOSS

Oct. 20 vs. Tampa Bay: 6 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 8 Ks, 1 BB -- WIN

Oct. 25 vs. Tampa Bay: 5.2 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 6 Ks, 2 BBs -- WIN

That totals up to a 4-1 record, including two World Series wins, with a 2.64 ERA, 37 strikeouts and five walks in 30.2 innings pitched.

I'm guessing Kershaw's 2020 postseason is over, unless he pitches in relief in a potential Game 7, and while you can't erase the struggles and disappointments of previous years, you have to give credit where credit is due. 

Kershaw has been good in the playoffs this year.

Friday, October 23, 2020

5(!) White Sox players among finalists for Gold Glove

Luis Robert
The finalists for the 2020 Gold Glove awards were announced Thursday, and much to my surprise, there are five White Sox players on the list.

Five!?

I can't remember another year when this many Sox players were considered candidates for this honor. Here are the players on the list:

C: James McCann

C: Yasmani Grandal

2B: Danny Mendick

3B: Yoan Moncada

CF: Luis Robert

Of the five, I'd rank Robert as the most likely to win, even though he's up against some tough competition in Minnesota's Byron Buxton and Oakland's Ramon Laureano

Buxton won the Gold Glove in 2017 and is widely known as a great defensive outfielder, but he did miss time because of injury this season. Also in Robert's favor: He led all center fielders in MLB in Outs Above Average at +7.

McCann and Grandal are finalists at catcher, along with Cleveland's Roberto Perez. But can either McCann or Grandal really claim the award when they shared the position throughout the season?

Mendick, to me, also didn't play enough to merit serious consideration. He played only 226 innings in 33 games at second base. That's fewer than the other finalists -- Cleveland's Cesar Hernandez, Detroit's Jonathan Schoop and Kansas City's Nicky Lopez.

Over at third base, Oakland's Matt Chapman is usually a slam dunk for the award. But he got hurt this year, so Moncada has a shot, along with New York's Gio Urshela and Texas' Isiah Kiner-Falefa.