Wednesday, July 10, 2013

Does trade value really increase or decrease based upon one game?

White Sox right fielder Alex Rios had a helluva game Tuesday night. He went 6 for 6 with two RBIs, two stolen bases and a run scored as Chicago routed the Detroit Tigers, 11-4.

Rios is the first Sox player to collect six hits in a game since Lance Johnson in 1995. He also became the first player to total four hits in a single game against Detroit ace Justin Verlander

This morning, I read articles and heard several comments about how Rios "increased his trade value" with the performance.

Really?

So what happens if Rios goes 0 for 5 in Wednesday's game? Does that mean his trade value goes back down? And if so, by how much?

Rios has been in the American League for 10 years. I would guess most scouts are well-acquainted with his capabilities. Teams that are interested in acquiring an outfielder in a midseason deal no doubt have been watching Rios for weeks. Are scouts really going to make a recommendation based upon one game?

I just don't buy the idea that a player's trade value is subject to day-to-day fluctuations. I think teams make evaluations by looking at long-term trends, not one-game snapshots.

Am I right or am I wrong?

3 comments:

  1. It's just a case of media working on a day by day, hour by hour, minute by minute, second by second news cycle. Soon each and every at bat will increase or decrease a players trade value. Possibly even how aggressively he runs the bases (Ryan Theriot) or how good he looks in the on deck circle. Media types have to be first for anything these days, no matter how ridiculous or wrong it may be.

    BTW... did you celebrate the 10-year anniversary of Randall Simon slugging one of the sausages in that stupid race they do around the field in Milwaukee?

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  2. No, I had forgotten about Randall Simon. Didn't they want to charge him with assault or something?

    The Sox are having a race around the field these days, too, but only on Sundays. It's a 1983 "retro race" featuring Harold Baines, Carlton Fisk and Ron Kittle. Frankly, it's one of the more exciting parts of Sunday Sox home games. Certainly, there aren't going to be many runs scored by the home team.

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  3. If your theory about a player's trade value increasing or decreasing based on his statistics in one game, Rios's trade value most definitely decreased on Saturday, as he went 0-for-6 with three strikeouts in the first game of a doubleheader against the Phillies.

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