Thursday, August 3, 2023

Lucas Giolito 0-2 after first 2 starts with Angels

Lucas Giolito
Former White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito has had a rough introduction to his new team since being traded to the Los Angeles Angels last week.

The Angels are on a tough road trip, and Giolito's first two starts have come against the Toronto Blue Jays and the Atlanta Braves, two playoff contenders. He lost both games. Here are his pitching lines:

  • July 28 at Toronto: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 5 Ks, 1 BB, 2 HRs allowed
  • Aug. 2 at Atlanta: 3.2 IP, 8 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 2 Ks, 3 BBs, 3 HRs, allowed

Ouch. Especially that game against the Braves. Giolito's given up 12 earned runs over his first nine innings pitched as a member of the Angels.

It's going to be a couple of years before we can judge that trade for the Sox, who received prospects Edgar Quero and Ky Bush from the Angels.

But for Los Angeles, both Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez are free agents at the end of the season, so they need immediate returns for this trade to work. Most of all, the Angels need to qualify for the postseason this year, before superstar Shohei Ohtani hits free agency.

I think it's going to be a tall order. As I sit here right now, the Angels are 56-53. They are in fourth place in the American League West, seven games behind the first-place Texas Rangers. The wild card is more doable. The Angels are 3.5 games back of the final wild card spot. The problem is they have four teams they need to pass.

In addition to Giolito and Lopez, the Angels acquired first baseman C.J. Cron and outfielder Randal Grichuk at the trade deadline. They will get All-Star center fielder Mike Trout back off the injured list at some point this month.

Still, I'm skeptical that they'll have enough. 

On the Sox end of the trade, Quero is the best prospect the Sox acquired at the deadline. The 20-year-old catcher is ranked No. 65 on MLB Pipeline's list of Top 100 prospects.

The Sox assigned the switch-hitter to Double-A Birmingham, where he has gone 4 for 21 with three RBIs in his first five games. The book on Quero is he has good plate discipline. He's walked 56 times this season, with 55 strikeouts. That's a good ratio. 

His power is down, however. In 2022, he hit 17 homers for Low-A Inland Empire. For whatever reason, the Angels allowed him to skip a level and promoted him to Double-A this season. He's young for the league, and this year, he's only got 3 home runs. 

It's too early to panic about that, however. Time is on Quero's side. He should be allowed to start next season at Double-A, and hopefully he'll earn a promotion to Triple-A Charlotte at some point. Perhaps we'll see him in Chicago sometime in 2025. If so, that would be terrific news.

Bush, a 23-year-old lefty, was good enough to pitch in the Futures Game in 2022, when he went 7-4 with a 3.93 in 21 starts with Double-A Rocket City. 

Injuries have limited him to nine starts this season. The Sox assigned him to Double-A Birmingham, and he got absolutely bombed in his first start there -- seven earned runs on 12 hits over 3.1 innings pitched.

Again, we won't make an assessment after one start, but I would pump the brakes on the idea that Bush will be a candidate for the 2024 Sox rotation. Maybe the second half of the year, if all goes well. It is good that the Sox added a lefty starter to their farm system. We know that's one area that's lacking. We'll see if they can develop Bush.

Wednesday, August 2, 2023

White Sox closer Liam Hendriks undergoes Tommy John surgery

White Sox closer Liam Hendriks underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday morning, according to a news release from the team. It's tough news for a pitcher who has been through a lot this year.

The 34-year-old right-hander announced in January that he had been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. His status for the 2023 season was uncertain, but Hendriks beat the cancer by April and made a remarkably quick return to the mound.

After five appearances at Triple-A Charlotte, he made his season debut with the Sox on May 29 against the Los Angeles Angels. He ultimately appeared in five games, going 2-0 with one save and a 5.40 ERA. 

Hendriks last pitched June 9 and went on the 15-day injured list two days later with right elbow inflammation. That injury led to this surgery. I had heard reports of Hendriks throwing off a mound recently, but his velocity was reportedly at 93.8 mph. We know that's not ideal. When Hendriks is right, he can crank his fastball up to 97 or 98, no problem.

The recovery time for this injury and surgery is estimated at 12-14 months, meaning Hendriks likely will not pitch again until the 2025 season.

Will he still be with the Sox at that time? That's a tough question to answer because Hendriks has an unusually structured contract.

The team has a $15 million option on him for the 2024 season, which includes a $15 million buyout. If the Sox opt to buy Hendriks out, he would be owed 10 annual payments of $1.5 million until 2033.

So, Hendriks is getting another $15 million from the Sox one way or another. This comes down to how quickly owner Jerry Reinsdorf wants Hendriks' salary off the books.

Hendriks is a popular player in the clubhouse and in the city. He's among the more charitable players on the roster, and his victory over cancer has been an inspiration to many people. And he's been a damn good relief pitcher for the Sox.

Given those factors, my sense would say the right thing to do is to pick up Hendriks' option. Then, come 2025, offer him a minor-league deal with an invitation to big-league camp, and see if he is healthy enough to earn his way onto the 2025 Sox roster.

But I'm thinking about what's best for the player and the team. Reinsdorf often looks at just the business side, so it won't be a surprise if Hendriks' option is declined. If that's the case, he's thrown his last pitch in a Sox uniform, and he'll probably get a look elsewhere in 2025.

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

White Sox make 6 deals in days leading up to trade deadline

The White Sox needed to sell at the Aug. 1 trade deadline, and they did. Here's a look at the six trades the team has made over the past week:

  1. Traded pitchers Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez to the Los Angeles Angels for catcher Edgar Quero and pitcher Ky Bush.
  2. Traded pitchers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly to the Los Angeles Dodgers for pitchers Nick Nastrini, Jordan Leasure and outfielder Trayce Thompson.
  3. Traded pitcher Kendall Graveman to the Houston Astros for catcher Korey Lee.
  4. Traded infielder Jake Burger to the Miami Marlins for pitcher Jake Eder.
  5. Traded pitcher Keynan Middleton to the New York Yankees for pitcher Juan Carela.
  6. Acquired pitcher Luis Patino from the Tampa Bay Rays for cash considerations.

I'll talk more about these deals in the days ahead. The Sox are 43-64 heading into Tuesday night's game with the Texas Rangers, so there will not be much on the field to talk about. 

Maybe we'll get a look at a couple of these new acquisitions before 2023 is over. I'm thinking Lee and Patino are candidates to be on the roster soon. We shall see.

Monday, July 24, 2023

White Sox can't sell false hope after getting swept in Minnesota

The White Sox entered this weekend's series against the first-place Minnesota Twins nine games back in the American League Central Division.

The thinking was, if they could sweep, they would be "back in it," only six games out with 61 games to go. Accordingly, they lined up their three best starting pitchers -- Lance Lynn, Dylan Cease and Lucas Giolito -- to pitch the three games against the Twins.

Well, instead of sweeping, they got swept. The Sox leave Minnesota 12 games out of first place, and they can no longer cling to any sort of hope -- false as it was -- in the division race. The 2023 season has been toast for months in my eyes, but after this, nobody can disagree with that assessment anymore.

On Sunday, the Sox took a 3-0 lead into the bottom of the ninth inning. Giolito was in line for the win, but Kendall Graveman gave up three runs and blew the whole thing. The Twins went on to win, 5-4, in 12 innings.

The loss leaves the Sox at 41-60. That's really a terrible record for a team that GM Rick Hahn said was "built to go deep into October" at the start of the season. Phooey.

In fact, this year's team isn't much different than the teams Sox fans watched during the three years of intentional losing (2017-19):

  • 2017: 39-62 after 101 games
  • 2018: 36-65 after 101 games
  • 2019: 45-56 after 101 games
  • 2023: 41-60 after 101 games 

In other words, the "peak contention window" Sox are not any better than the "tanking for draft position" Sox of past years. That's quite an indictment of the front office and the players alike.

I'm 47 years old. I've been a Sox fan since I attended my first game in 1981. I've seen worse Sox teams than this, but this is probably the worst season I've ever had to endure.

The gap between what the organization says they are and what they actually are has never been more wide. It's a chasm, and that's what makes all this losing so intolerable. They claim that they have what it takes to win, but it's been clear for months that they simply do not.

It's time to clean house, both in the front office and on the field.

Wednesday, July 19, 2023

So, Justin Verlander is better than Touki Toussaint? No kidding ...

Touki Toussaint vs. Justin Verlander.

I've talked before about how some days I check the pitching matchup in the morning, and I'm 100% sure the White Sox are going to lose. Wednesday was one of those days.

During the rebuilding years of 2017 to 2019, you could live with the Sox being at a severe disadvantage in the pitching matchup on some days. But this is 2023. The team is supposed to be contending, but it isn't. And it's especially annoying when you see games like Wednesday's, which ended as a 5-1 victory for the New York Mets.

The Sox had no answers for Verlander, the future Hall of Famer. The 40-year-old right-hander needed only 59 pitches to breeze through the first six innings, during which he allowed no runs on only one hit. 

Luis Robert Jr. finally got the Sox on the board with his 28th homer in the seventh inning, but that was the sum total of the Chicago offense. Verlander (4-5) threw 100 pitches over eight innings, allowing one run on three hits. He struck out seven and walked one.

Toussaint? Well, he is a reclamation project who was picked off the waiver wire on June 20. Now he's starting games because Mike Clevinger is hurt, and the Sox have nobody else.

At least give Toussaint (0-3) credit for eating innings. He allowed five earned runs on four hits over six innings. He struck out three and walked four. He was relieved by 29-year-old rookie Jesse Scholtens, who kept the Mets off the board for two innings. 

Toussaint and Scholtens ... don't you think they would have fit in nicely on the 2017 White Sox rebuilding roster? I'm sure they're nice guys and all, and they are survivors in professional baseball. 

But the fact that they are pitching for the Sox is proof positive that the "contention window" is shut and locked. These guys are no match for Verlander, even in the twilight of his career.

Lucas Giolito struggles through poor start against Mets

Lucas Giolito
On Tuesday afternoon, I saw a Twitter poll asking whether Lucas Giolito's start against the New York Mets would be his last as a member of the White Sox.

It's a reasonable question. After all, the Sox entered Tuesday's action 15 games below .500 and eight games behind the first-place Minnesota Twins in the American League Central Division. Giolito is in the last year of his contract, and he would have value for a contending team.

I voted "no" in the poll. My opinion was the minority one. At the time I voted, 64% of respondents said "yes."

But here's why I think Giolito will hang around for one more start and perhaps two: The Sox play at Minnesota this weekend, and the team very clearly set their post All-Star break rotation with that series in mind. Lance Lynn will pitch Friday. Dylan Cease is scheduled to work Saturday, and Giolito's next turn is Sunday. 

These three games against the Twins represent the last gasp of the season. If the Sox were to somehow sweep that series and get within, say, five games of the division lead, management would probably delay their sell-off for another week -- at least until the four-game set against the Cleveland Guardians from July 27-30 at Guaranteed Rate Field.

The Guardians are another team the Sox need to catch, and Giolito would be scheduled to work the third game of that four-game set -- if there are no changes to the rotation.

You might be saying this is all pie in the sky. You might be saying that the Sox suck, and they are out of it. And I agree with you 100%. But you have to think along with team brass here. They still believe they assembled a "talented" roster, and I expect them to fight to the death.

By the time that Cleveland series is over, the Sox still have time to trade key players before the deadline, if they indeed are buried in the division race. And let's be honest: Not much gets done in MLB until right before the deadline. Teams are trying to broker the best deal possible, and they often don't move until the last possible minute.

Back to Tuesday's start ... Giolito was awful. He had his worst start in a long time, allowing eight earned runs on six hits in 3.2 innings. He struck out five, walked five and allowed three home runs in a 11-10 loss.

Those same Sox fans on Twitter are having a meltdown in the wake of this poor performance, believing Giolito has "cratered" his trade value.

With all due respect, that is pure idiocy.

Giolito had allowed two earned runs or less in six of his previous seven starts. He's had a good season overall. 

Not to mention, he's been in the American League for six-plus seasons. He's a veteran pitcher, with a huge career sample size and a well-established track record. GMs and scouts know exactly what Giolito can do -- and what he cannot do. 

Fans allow their emotions to get involved when they see a poor result, but that's not the way to look at the situation. Those who work in baseball are not going to change their assessment of a player based upon one game. They are going to take a bigger-picture view of that player's performance.

Giolito is almost certainly going to be dealt by the end of the month. A contender will want him. And the Sox should get a respectable return, at least as far as rental players go.