5 thoughts on Baseball America's Top 10 White Sox prospect list

We know how it goes with prospects. Teams and sometimes even the media who cover them often give you a rose-colored view of a young player's future.

Guys who are 20 years old and just starting out are unfairly given "comps" to retired players who are enshrined in Cooperstown. It's mostly eyewash, especially if your favorite team happens to be rebuilding and has nothing better to do than to try to sell fans on the idea that great things are coming three or four years down the road. 

That's certainly where the White Sox are living right now. They will stink again in 2025, but they want you to buy into the six guys they have ranked on the Top 100 prospect list. They want you to believe that the outlook will be much better by, say, 2027 or 2028.

Me personally, I prefer to read what people outside of Chicago are saying about White Sox prospects. Not that the analysts at Baseball America are perfect. These are people who devote their lives to amateur and minor league baseball, and as "prospect-heads," even they overrate the future of young players at times. 

That said, I find their commentary interesting. In Baseball America's December/January issue, which is available on newsstands through Feb. 10, they break down the Top 10 prospects for every American League team. After reading through the report, here are five of my thoughts on what they said about the White Sox:

1. Noah Schultz is the consensus top prospect in the organization. The 21-year-old lefty still has only one victory in 33 professional starts, but that's because the Sox don't let him throw many innings. His typical outing lasts four innings. Schultz split time between High-A Winston-Salem and Double-A Birmingham last season, posting a 1.48 ERA with 73 strikeouts and only 17 walks in 61 innings with the Barons. He tops everyone's Sox prospect list now, including Baseball America's, because his fastball velocity ticked up to 95-97 mph last season. He's got two plus pitches now, fastball and slider. He also throws a changeup and a cutter. The changeup needs to get better for him to reach the majors. 

2. Colson Montgomery is described as an "above-average" defender." Montgomery's struggles at the plate were well documented in 2024. He started the season as the top prospect in the system, but he batted just .214/.329/.381 in 130 games at Triple-A Charlotte. He's No. 2 on Baseball America's White Sox list, as the publication cited Montgomery's late-season improvement that coincided with more of an all-fields approach. But interestingly, they lauded his defense as "above average." He was described as having good footwork, positioning and anticipation at shortstop. That's different than what we often hear in Chicago, where some people seem convinced that Montgomery will need to move to third base.

3. This list was published before the Garrett Crochet trade. Notably absent from the White Sox Top 10 list are catcher Kyle Teel and outfielder Braden Montgomery, who were still with the Boston Red Sox at the time Baseball America went to press.  For the record, Teel was No. 4 on the Boston list, while Braden Montgomery was No. 6. Another catcher, Edgar Quero, is No. 4 on the White Sox list. He is described as Chicago's "catcher of the future." One wonders whether that's still the case with Teel in the fold. Baseball America suggests Teel would need another half-season at Triple-A to "refine his defense." It also believes Quero could use a little more Triple-A time. The White Sox catching situation is going to be among the more interesting storylines surrounding the team coming into the year.

4. Braden Montgomery is a lot better batting left-handed. In reading the scouting report on the newly acquired outfielder, it was noted that he hit .361/.476/.834 with a 16% strikeout rate from the left side, but just .224/.404/.478 with a 28% strikeout rate from the right side during his junior season at Texas A&M. That makes me wonder whether Montgomery's future is as a platoon player, or maybe he should just scrap the whole switch-hitting thing. Either way, Baseball America sees him as a three true outcomes corner outfielder. They don't rule him out as emerging as a big league option by 2026, although we can expect him to start in High-A in 2025.

5. The fifth-best position player prospect in the Sox system is ... Caleb Bonemer? We know the top four are Colson Montgomery, Teel, Quero and Braden Montgomery. And we know the White Sox system is pitching heavy. So, is there anyone else position player-wise? Well, the 19-year-old Bonemer checks in at No. 8 on Baseball America's list. He was just drafted in the second round in 2024. He's likely to be given a full-season assignment at Low-A Kannapolis in 2025. In other words, he's a long ways away in even the most optimistic scenario. Nothing against the kid, but this is further evidence that the Sox have a lot of work to do when it comes to finding more potential major league bats.

3 White Sox prospects make Baseball America's Top 100

The White Sox are playing as I type this Tuesday night, but I'm not watching the game. I'm indifferent about any outcomes for the rest of the 2023 season.

Instead, I'm writing a blog about prospects, while a game between the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves is on my TV.

It's obnoxious that it's come to this, but here we are. Anyway, I was flipping through the August edition of Baseball America when I saw that publication's updated Top 100 list. For the first time in quite some time, that list contains three White Sox prospects. In case you were wondering, here they are:

Colson Montgomery, SS (No. 22). The Sox's 2021 first-round pick missed the start of the season with an oblique injury, which has limited him to 36 games. Upon his return, the shortstop tore up the Arizona Complex League, posting a 1.099 OPS in 10 games. 

Montgomery had no difficulties once he was promoted to High-A Winston-Salem, either, where he had a 1.088 OPS with three home runs and three doubles in 17 games. Opposing pitchers walked him 20 times, including three times intentionally.

So, the Sox promoted Montgomery to Double-A Birmingham. In nine games there, he's batting .179/.465/.357. The OPS is .822, and it's mostly because of a high on-base profile. Montgomery has walked 10 times (against 10 strikeouts) in those nine games. This is obviously a small sample size. We'll see if he adjusts to the level between now and the end of the year.

Noah Schultz, LHP (No. 35). Schultz, who just turned 20 years old earlier this month, was the Sox's first-round draft pick in 2022. A strained flexor muscle in his left arm delayed Schultz's season debut until June 2, but he's been overpowering in Low-A Kannapolis thus far.

They are keeping this kid on a strict innings count -- he's only thrown 27 innings in 10 starts. But across those 10 starts, he did not allow an earned run in nine of them. He had one bad outing where he gave up four earned runs, leaving his ERA at 2.33.

Schultz has struck out 38 and walked only six in those 27 innings. He's allowed 17 hits. Right now, the whole deal is to build up stamina and arm strength.

Edgar Quero, C (No. 75). In this magazine, Quero is still listed as a member of the Los Angeles Angels. The 20-year-old catcher was traded to the White Sox, along with pitcher Ky Bush, in exchange for pitchers Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez last month.

The early returns for this switch-hitting catcher are good since he joined Double-A Birmingham. Quero has caught 12 games, batting .326/.377/.370. He's yet to hit his first home run as a member of the Sox organization, but he does have 12 RBIs.

Quero will take his walks. He has four of them with the Barons (against six strikeouts). For the season, he's walked 59 times and struck out 59 times, so he's shown good knowledge of the strike zone, which is something the Sox need.

He is young for the level, so I'm going to pump the brakes on anyone who thinks Quero can get to the majors in 2024. It's possible, but unlikely. The most likely scenario is he starts in Birmingham again next year, and hopefully earns a promotion to Triple-A Charlotte. Maybe he's the Sox catcher in 2025, if all goes well.

One other prospect to note: Baseball America picked a Minor League Player of the Year for all 30 organizations at midseason. Montgomery and Schultz weren't going to get this nod for the Sox, because of their injuries. 

Instead, the magazine bestowed that honor upon ... outfielder Terrell Tatum.

Tatum, who just turned 24, had an exceptional start to the year at High-A Winston Salem. He played 60 games there, batting .268/.434/.421. Note the high on-base percentage. Tatum drew 58 walks in those 60 games, and he turned a bunch of them into doubles. He had 32 steals for the Dash.

That earned him a promotion to Double-A Birmingham. The OBP is down a little bit there in 38 games, but the numbers are still encouraging on the whole: .262/.390/.376. Tatum has swiped 10 bags for the Barons, which puts him at 42 steals for the season.

A speedy outfielder who gets on base and steals bases? Umm, yeah, the Sox need that skill set, right? It will be interesting to see if Tatum can play his way into the team's plans.

Lucas Giolito 0-2 after first 2 starts with Angels

Lucas Giolito

Former White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito has had a rough introduction to his new team since being traded to the Los Angeles Angels last week.

The Angels are on a tough road trip, and Giolito's first two starts have come against the Toronto Blue Jays and the Atlanta Braves, two playoff contenders. He lost both games. Here are his pitching lines:

• July 28 at Toronto: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 5 Ks, 1 BB, 2 HRs allowed
• Aug. 2 at Atlanta: 3.2 IP, 8 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 2 Ks, 3 BBs, 3 HRs, allowed

Ouch. Especially that game against the Braves. Giolito's given up 12 earned runs over his first nine innings pitched as a member of the Angels.

It's going to be a couple of years before we can judge that trade for the Sox, who received prospects Edgar Quero and Ky Bush from the Angels.

But for Los Angeles, both Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez are free agents at the end of the season, so they need immediate returns for this trade to work. Most of all, the Angels need to qualify for the postseason this year, before superstar Shohei Ohtani hits free agency.

I think it's going to be a tall order. As I sit here right now, the Angels are 56-53. They are in fourth place in the American League West, seven games behind the first-place Texas Rangers. The wild card is more doable. The Angels are 3.5 games back of the final wild card spot. The problem is they have four teams they need to pass.

In addition to Giolito and Lopez, the Angels acquired first baseman C.J. Cron and outfielder Randal Grichuk at the trade deadline. They will get All-Star center fielder Mike Trout back off the injured list at some point this month.

Still, I'm skeptical that they'll have enough. 

On the Sox end of the trade, Quero is the best prospect the Sox acquired at the deadline. The 20-year-old catcher is ranked No. 65 on MLB Pipeline's list of Top 100 prospects.

The Sox assigned the switch-hitter to Double-A Birmingham, where he has gone 4 for 21 with three RBIs in his first five games. The book on Quero is he has good plate discipline. He's walked 56 times this season, with 55 strikeouts. That's a good ratio. 

His power is down, however. In 2022, he hit 17 homers for Low-A Inland Empire. For whatever reason, the Angels allowed him to skip a level and promoted him to Double-A this season. He's young for the league, and this year, he's only got 3 home runs. 

It's too early to panic about that, however. Time is on Quero's side. He should be allowed to start next season at Double-A, and hopefully he'll earn a promotion to Triple-A Charlotte at some point. Perhaps we'll see him in Chicago sometime in 2025. If so, that would be terrific news.

Bush, a 23-year-old lefty, was good enough to pitch in the Futures Game in 2022, when he went 7-4 with a 3.93 in 21 starts with Double-A Rocket City. 

Injuries have limited him to nine starts this season. The Sox assigned him to Double-A Birmingham, and he got absolutely bombed in his first start there -- seven earned runs on 12 hits over 3.1 innings pitched.

Again, we won't make an assessment after one start, but I would pump the brakes on the idea that Bush will be a candidate for the 2024 Sox rotation. Maybe the second half of the year, if all goes well. It is good that the Sox added a lefty starter to their farm system. We know that's one area that's lacking. We'll see if they can develop Bush.