Tuesday, August 15, 2023

3 White Sox prospects make Baseball America's Top 100

The White Sox are playing as I type this Tuesday night, but I'm not watching the game. I'm indifferent about any outcomes for the rest of the 2023 season.

Instead, I'm writing a blog about prospects, while a game between the New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves is on my TV.

It's obnoxious that it's come to this, but here we are. Anyway, I was flipping through the August edition of Baseball America when I saw that publication's updated Top 100 list. For the first time in quite some time, that list contains three White Sox prospects. In case you were wondering, here they are:

Colson Montgomery, SS (No. 22). The Sox's 2021 first-round pick missed the start of the season with an oblique injury, which has limited him to 36 games. Upon his return, the shortstop tore up the Arizona Complex League, posting a 1.099 OPS in 10 games. 

Montgomery had no difficulties once he was promoted to High-A Winston-Salem, either, where he had a 1.088 OPS with three home runs and three doubles in 17 games. Opposing pitchers walked him 20 times, including three times intentionally.

So, the Sox promoted Montgomery to Double-A Birmingham. In nine games there, he's batting .179/.465/.357. The OPS is .822, and it's mostly because of a high on-base profile. Montgomery has walked 10 times (against 10 strikeouts) in those nine games. This is obviously a small sample size. We'll see if he adjusts to the level between now and the end of the year.

Noah Schultz, LHP (No. 35). Schultz, who just turned 20 years old earlier this month, was the Sox's first-round draft pick in 2022. A strained flexor muscle in his left arm delayed Schultz's season debut until June 2, but he's been overpowering in Low-A Kannapolis thus far.

They are keeping this kid on a strict innings count -- he's only thrown 27 innings in 10 starts. But across those 10 starts, he did not allow an earned run in nine of them. He had one bad outing where he gave up four earned runs, leaving his ERA at 2.33.

Schultz has struck out 38 and walked only six in those 27 innings. He's allowed 17 hits. Right now, the whole deal is to build up stamina and arm strength.

Edgar Quero, C (No. 75). In this magazine, Quero is still listed as a member of the Los Angeles Angels. The 20-year-old catcher was traded to the White Sox, along with pitcher Ky Bush, in exchange for pitchers Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez last month.

The early returns for this switch-hitting catcher are good since he joined Double-A Birmingham. Quero has caught 12 games, batting .326/.377/.370. He's yet to hit his first home run as a member of the Sox organization, but he does have 12 RBIs.

Quero will take his walks. He has four of them with the Barons (against six strikeouts). For the season, he's walked 59 times and struck out 59 times, so he's shown good knowledge of the strike zone, which is something the Sox need.

He is young for the level, so I'm going to pump the brakes on anyone who thinks Quero can get to the majors in 2024. It's possible, but unlikely. The most likely scenario is he starts in Birmingham again next year, and hopefully earns a promotion to Triple-A Charlotte. Maybe he's the Sox catcher in 2025, if all goes well.

One other prospect to note: Baseball America picked a Minor League Player of the Year for all 30 organizations at midseason. Montgomery and Schultz weren't going to get this nod for the Sox, because of their injuries. 

Instead, the magazine bestowed that honor upon ... outfielder Terrell Tatum.

Tatum, who just turned 24, had an exceptional start to the year at High-A Winston Salem. He played 60 games there, batting .268/.434/.421. Note the high on-base percentage. Tatum drew 58 walks in those 60 games, and he turned a bunch of them into doubles. He had 32 steals for the Dash.

That earned him a promotion to Double-A Birmingham. The OBP is down a little bit there in 38 games, but the numbers are still encouraging on the whole: .262/.390/.376. Tatum has swiped 10 bags for the Barons, which puts him at 42 steals for the season.

A speedy outfielder who gets on base and steals bases? Umm, yeah, the Sox need that skill set, right? It will be interesting to see if Tatum can play his way into the team's plans.

Thursday, August 10, 2023

Is Mike Clevinger going to pitch for the 2024 White Sox?

Mike Clevinger
This question would have been unthinkable at the start of the season, given Mike Clevinger's off-the-field problems, but is it possible the White Sox will pick up his contract option for the 2024 season? 

Clevinger pitched six innings of one-run ball Wednesday night and earned the victory as the Sox defeated the New York Yankees, 9-2.

For the season, Clevinger has the lowest ERA of any Sox starting pitcher -- 3.55. He's made 15 starts, going 5-5. That doesn't seem spectacular, but when you're pitching for a team that is 47-69, a .500 record isn't that bad.

According to baseballreference.com, Clevinger is worth 2.0 WAR this season, which puts him third on the team behind Luis Robert Jr. and Lucas Giolito. Well, actually, maybe Clevinger is second on the team, now that Giolito has been traded to the Los Angeles Angels.

At this point, you'd have to say Clevinger is one of the few players on the Sox who has met or exceeded expectations in 2023.

The big question with Clevinger remains his health. He's had two stints on the injured list this season, notably being out from June 14 until July 29 with a biceps strain. Can he pitch without hurting himself? It's a legitimate concern.

Also a concern, the Sox have only two starting pitchers under team control for 2024: Dylan Cease and Michael Kopech.

That leaves three spots open, and at this point, you can't count Clevinger out for next season. There's a mutual team option worth $12 million. Would the Sox pick that up? Or would they gamble on finding somebody better on the free agent market?

If the Sox do pick up the option, would Clevinger opt in to stay in Chicago? Or would he bet on himself and elect free agency? Given his "character issues" and injury history, it's unclear to me whether Clevinger would get another $12 million on the open market. 

His best bet might be to stay, if the Sox want him.

Monday, August 7, 2023

Keynan Middleton bashes White Sox culture; Lance Lynn subtly backs him

Former White Sox reliever Keynan Middleton, who was traded at the deadline to the New York Yankees, is back in Chicago this week as a member of his new team.

And when asked about the problems with his old team, he came out swinging. Middleton bashed the team culture, saying there were "no rules" with no accountability for players who showed up late for meetings and fell asleep during games and whatnot.

You can read the article from Jesse Rogers of ESPN here. For Sox fans, it's well worth your time.

The immediate thought is, "How credible is Middleton?" Well, he's very credible in my view. What reason would he have to make all this up? This Sox gave him a chance to revitalize his career this season, and to his credit, he pitched well -- well enough that a contending team wanted him at the deadline. I don't see any reason why he would have a personal ax to grind with anyone in Chicago.

Not to mention, former Sox starting pitcher Lance Lynn, who was traded at the deadline to the Los Angeles Dodgers, subtly backed Middleton during an appearance on the Foul Territory podcast.

Former Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski asked Lynn directly about Middleton's remarks. Here's a transcript of how it went:

A.J.: Lance, did you see what Keynan Middleton said when he got traded?

Lynn: I did see what popped up yesterday, yes.

A.J.: Do you have any thoughts on that ... possibly?

Lynn: I can say this. ... Let me tell you what Key was wrong about ... <crickets>

A.J.: OK ...

<crickets>

Off-camera voice: We're ready.

<even more crickets>

A.J.: I get it.

So, Lynn told us what Middleton was wrong about, and that was ... absolutely nothing!

Thank you, Keynan Middleton, for calling attention to the dysfunction that has existed in the Sox organization for years and years.

As a fan, it's difficult when the team you've loved since you were a child absolutely stinks. It's difficult when that team is a national laughingstock. 

But in some ways, this was the best day of the season for me, because a light is finally shining on the ineptitude and suffocating failure that exists in the White Sox organization. That failure has been murdering the fan base for several seasons now. We're long past the point of needing change.

The White Sox winning percentage for 2023 is below .400, and that's even after winning two out of three in Cleveland over the weekend. That's pathetic in a supposed "contention window." 

We can only hope the embarrassment the Sox are enduring now sparks some turnover among the people in charge of this languishing operation.

Friday, August 4, 2023

Former Dodgers get rude introduction to White Sox system

Trayce Thompson
So far, so bad for the three players the White Sox acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers last week in exchange for pitchers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly.

Trayce Thompson is back for his third stint with the Sox. Longtime fans will recall the Sox drafted him in the second round in 2009. He made it to the majors in 2015 before being traded to the Dodgers the following offseason. He was with the Sox briefly in 2018, and like a cat with nine lives, he's back on the South Side again.

The 32-year-old outfielder went 0 for 4 with three strikeouts in his first game back with the Sox on Thursday, a 5-3 loss to the Texas Rangers

Thompson is a good defensive player who can handle all three outfield spots competently. He's also reportedly a good guy in the clubhouse. That's probably why he keeps getting opportunities in the majors. It certainly isn't his skill at the plate. He's a lifetime .215/.302/.426 hitter.

To be honest, I'm not sure why Thompson is here. What purpose does he serve? Your guess is as good as mine. He's in the twilight of a journeyman career, trying to hang on to a roster spot in the majors.

The two guys who matter most to the Sox in this deal are pitchers Nick Nastrini and Jordan Leasure.

Nastrini, a 23-year-old right-hander, was the No. 9 prospect in the Dodgers system. He is now the No. 4 prospect in the Sox system. Reports say he could be major league ready as soon as next year. Let's hope so, because the Sox have plenty of holes to fill in the starting rotation.

However, Nastrini's first start at Double-A Birmingham went poorly. He gave up seven runs, five earned, on six hits over 4.2 innings. But hey, at least he struck out six. That's an indication that some swing-and-miss stuff was there. This season, Nastrini has fanned 91 batters over 78.1 innings. We can hope that his bad outing was just a matter of getting acclimated to a new team. After all, it can be jarring for a young player after he gets traded.

Speaking of jarring, Leasure is 0-2 with a 40.50 ERA through his first two relief appearances at Triple-A Charlotte. He gave up four runs in two-thirds of an inning in his first outing, and gave up a two-run walk-off homer in his second appearance. That's rough.

The 24-year-old throws 98 mph, and I've heard some people say he might get a look in Chicago in September. I wouldn't mind that, but first he'll need to stabilize his performance with Charlotte.

Thursday, August 3, 2023

Lucas Giolito 0-2 after first 2 starts with Angels

Lucas Giolito
Former White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito has had a rough introduction to his new team since being traded to the Los Angeles Angels last week.

The Angels are on a tough road trip, and Giolito's first two starts have come against the Toronto Blue Jays and the Atlanta Braves, two playoff contenders. He lost both games. Here are his pitching lines:

  • July 28 at Toronto: 5.1 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 5 Ks, 1 BB, 2 HRs allowed
  • Aug. 2 at Atlanta: 3.2 IP, 8 H, 9 R, 9 ER, 2 Ks, 3 BBs, 3 HRs, allowed

Ouch. Especially that game against the Braves. Giolito's given up 12 earned runs over his first nine innings pitched as a member of the Angels.

It's going to be a couple of years before we can judge that trade for the Sox, who received prospects Edgar Quero and Ky Bush from the Angels.

But for Los Angeles, both Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez are free agents at the end of the season, so they need immediate returns for this trade to work. Most of all, the Angels need to qualify for the postseason this year, before superstar Shohei Ohtani hits free agency.

I think it's going to be a tall order. As I sit here right now, the Angels are 56-53. They are in fourth place in the American League West, seven games behind the first-place Texas Rangers. The wild card is more doable. The Angels are 3.5 games back of the final wild card spot. The problem is they have four teams they need to pass.

In addition to Giolito and Lopez, the Angels acquired first baseman C.J. Cron and outfielder Randal Grichuk at the trade deadline. They will get All-Star center fielder Mike Trout back off the injured list at some point this month.

Still, I'm skeptical that they'll have enough. 

On the Sox end of the trade, Quero is the best prospect the Sox acquired at the deadline. The 20-year-old catcher is ranked No. 65 on MLB Pipeline's list of Top 100 prospects.

The Sox assigned the switch-hitter to Double-A Birmingham, where he has gone 4 for 21 with three RBIs in his first five games. The book on Quero is he has good plate discipline. He's walked 56 times this season, with 55 strikeouts. That's a good ratio. 

His power is down, however. In 2022, he hit 17 homers for Low-A Inland Empire. For whatever reason, the Angels allowed him to skip a level and promoted him to Double-A this season. He's young for the league, and this year, he's only got 3 home runs. 

It's too early to panic about that, however. Time is on Quero's side. He should be allowed to start next season at Double-A, and hopefully he'll earn a promotion to Triple-A Charlotte at some point. Perhaps we'll see him in Chicago sometime in 2025. If so, that would be terrific news.

Bush, a 23-year-old lefty, was good enough to pitch in the Futures Game in 2022, when he went 7-4 with a 3.93 in 21 starts with Double-A Rocket City. 

Injuries have limited him to nine starts this season. The Sox assigned him to Double-A Birmingham, and he got absolutely bombed in his first start there -- seven earned runs on 12 hits over 3.1 innings pitched.

Again, we won't make an assessment after one start, but I would pump the brakes on the idea that Bush will be a candidate for the 2024 Sox rotation. Maybe the second half of the year, if all goes well. It is good that the Sox added a lefty starter to their farm system. We know that's one area that's lacking. We'll see if they can develop Bush.

Wednesday, August 2, 2023

White Sox closer Liam Hendriks undergoes Tommy John surgery

White Sox closer Liam Hendriks underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday morning, according to a news release from the team. It's tough news for a pitcher who has been through a lot this year.

The 34-year-old right-hander announced in January that he had been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. His status for the 2023 season was uncertain, but Hendriks beat the cancer by April and made a remarkably quick return to the mound.

After five appearances at Triple-A Charlotte, he made his season debut with the Sox on May 29 against the Los Angeles Angels. He ultimately appeared in five games, going 2-0 with one save and a 5.40 ERA. 

Hendriks last pitched June 9 and went on the 15-day injured list two days later with right elbow inflammation. That injury led to this surgery. I had heard reports of Hendriks throwing off a mound recently, but his velocity was reportedly at 93.8 mph. We know that's not ideal. When Hendriks is right, he can crank his fastball up to 97 or 98, no problem.

The recovery time for this injury and surgery is estimated at 12-14 months, meaning Hendriks likely will not pitch again until the 2025 season.

Will he still be with the Sox at that time? That's a tough question to answer because Hendriks has an unusually structured contract.

The team has a $15 million option on him for the 2024 season, which includes a $15 million buyout. If the Sox opt to buy Hendriks out, he would be owed 10 annual payments of $1.5 million until 2033.

So, Hendriks is getting another $15 million from the Sox one way or another. This comes down to how quickly owner Jerry Reinsdorf wants Hendriks' salary off the books.

Hendriks is a popular player in the clubhouse and in the city. He's among the more charitable players on the roster, and his victory over cancer has been an inspiration to many people. And he's been a damn good relief pitcher for the Sox.

Given those factors, my sense would say the right thing to do is to pick up Hendriks' option. Then, come 2025, offer him a minor-league deal with an invitation to big-league camp, and see if he is healthy enough to earn his way onto the 2025 Sox roster.

But I'm thinking about what's best for the player and the team. Reinsdorf often looks at just the business side, so it won't be a surprise if Hendriks' option is declined. If that's the case, he's thrown his last pitch in a Sox uniform, and he'll probably get a look elsewhere in 2025.

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

White Sox make 6 deals in days leading up to trade deadline

The White Sox needed to sell at the Aug. 1 trade deadline, and they did. Here's a look at the six trades the team has made over the past week:

  1. Traded pitchers Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez to the Los Angeles Angels for catcher Edgar Quero and pitcher Ky Bush.
  2. Traded pitchers Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly to the Los Angeles Dodgers for pitchers Nick Nastrini, Jordan Leasure and outfielder Trayce Thompson.
  3. Traded pitcher Kendall Graveman to the Houston Astros for catcher Korey Lee.
  4. Traded infielder Jake Burger to the Miami Marlins for pitcher Jake Eder.
  5. Traded pitcher Keynan Middleton to the New York Yankees for pitcher Juan Carela.
  6. Acquired pitcher Luis Patino from the Tampa Bay Rays for cash considerations.

I'll talk more about these deals in the days ahead. The Sox are 43-64 heading into Tuesday night's game with the Texas Rangers, so there will not be much on the field to talk about. 

Maybe we'll get a look at a couple of these new acquisitions before 2023 is over. I'm thinking Lee and Patino are candidates to be on the roster soon. We shall see.